World Conflict Thread

[Weps 1,378]

Just a heads up, 

 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has signed Decree No. 117/2021 "Strategy for De-occupation and Reintegration of the Temporarily Occupied Territory of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the City of Sevastopol", the Cabinet of Ministers has been instructed to develop an action plan to immediately implement the strategy and the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine has approved. 

 

Ukraine is stating it intends to take Crimea, Luhansk, Donetsk, and Sevastopol by force and so using "diplomatic, military, economic, informational, humanitarian and other measures at restoring the territorial integrity, state sovereignty of Ukraine within its internationally recognized borders through the de-occupation and reintegration of Crimea."

 

Simply put, it's an indirect declaration of war.

 

Since the signing of the decree, there has been a lot of movement of Russian equipment, vehicles and assets into Crimea, as well as as the proto-states of Luhansk and Donetsk in Ukraine. The 56th Guards Air Assault Brigade, a VDV Airborne Brigade has been preeminently regarrisoned from Kamyshin, Russian to Feodosia inside Crimea.

 

Twitter is hot with videos showing Russian armor and artillery being moved via rail into Crimea, which in the event of conflict is most likely be Russia's staging point for, as it affords them the greatest amount of protection that isn't within their direct borders, allows them port access via Sevastopol, and air defense via their organic AA assets like the Buk. S-300, and S-400 systems...and their ship-based systems on their guided missile frigates and corvettes, it also provides a shield against naval threats posed by NATO as the Russian's directly control both the Black Sea and Sea of Azov. 

For US Naval Forces to access the Black Sea, it would require they traverse the Dardanelles and Bosphorus Strait, and as has been shown by the unintentional, accidental bottlenecking of the Suez Canal via Evergreen's Even Given container ship, the Russian's could easily command both choke points with their Black Sea Fleet, as well as form a beachhead within the straits, as the Turks do not have the military means to defend against the Russians, but the wild card, as has always been intended since the Cold War are our nukes stationed at Incirlik Air Base in Turkey, but I wouldn't hold faith in the Turkish Government to not fold or possibly even double-back. Russia has had far greater success in forging relationships in the Mid-East, particularly with Iran, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, ect... through trade, arms supplying and, technical and finical assistance. 

 

NATO has also increased surveillance of the region, as there have been hundreds of cease-fire violations committed by Russian backed forces in the region.

 

 

 

 

[Sunstriker7 698]

Poor Ukraine. Being the fertile breadbasket of the region has really fucked them up for basically ever.

 

It's a good thing we don't have a president that's in Putin's pocket anymore but our involvement will still be minimal, I'm sure.

[Solaris 3,581]

20 hours ago, Sunstriker7 said:

Poor Ukraine. Being the fertile breadbasket of the region has really fucked them up for basically ever.

 

It's a good thing we don't have a president that's in Putin's pocket anymore but our involvement will still be minimal, I'm sure.

Don't worry, we will be "concerned" and "condemn" them to death like we have every other time. NATO doesn't have the spine to put their foot down, Russia's nuclear deterrence has the world by the balls. China and North Korea's conventional military capability is enough to deter most western nations from engaging in conflict. I'm not particularly sure about Iran's capability. They seem to be a lot of bark and no bite, decently trained and sizeable conventional military, but give them enough time to build their own mid-range nuclear deterrence (if they haven't already) and they become a real threat. Especially to Israel and India. 

 

When shit starts flying, it will splatter everywhere. 

[Weps 1,378]

New reports on the  Russian Forces massing in the Donetsk Region and Crimea;

 

- A total of seven Russian combat brigades in the Donbas (Don River Basin) of Ukraine and Crimea.

 

- A number of surface combat vessels from the Black Sea Fleet are also afloat outside of two Ukrainian Donbas Black Sea port cities. 

 

We known one of the brigades is the 56th Guards Air Assault Brigade;

 

 

It's likely the other six brigades are Motor Rifle Brigades; 

 

Detailed breakdown of the Russian "Motostrelki" Motor Rifle Company, the primary close combat element of the Motor Rifle Battalion:

 

Edited April 5, 2021 by Weps

[Weps 1,378]

 

[Solaris 3,581]

Totally not a threat.

 

Russia warns U.S. to stay away from Ukraine for its "own good" (msn.com)

 

This is also a good overview of the climate in Ukraine and why Russia is moving assets into Crimea. Without water, they can't farm, their citizens can't drink and their military bases can't function, which is a huge disadvantage to them in the Black Sea. 

 

[Enclusion 163]

Whatever happens I don't want any part of it! Hope things go well for everyone in Ukraine and Russian region.

[Sunstriker7 698]

It won't.

[Enclusion 163]

19 hours ago, Sunstriker7 said:

It won't.

☹️

[Solaris 3,581]

Russia reportedly withdrawing troops, but I'll wait for third party observers to confirm this. Doesn't mean that they won't do anything from Crimea in the south. 

 

Russia orders soldiers to begin return to bases after drills near Ukraine | Reuters